Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Korez A.
13'
13'
Korosec A.
15'
15'
Pirtovsek R.
AI Match Summary
Rogaska in this Slovenian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smarje
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Rogaska have won more games recently than Smarje.
- Rogaska are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Rogaska arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Rogaska, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Smarje Clean Sheet 18%
Rogaska Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smarje | Rogaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 26 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.68 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2023 Slovenian Cup
Smarje vs Rogaska
1:4
Oct 17, 2020 3. SNL - East
Rogaska vs Smarje
5:1
Mar 25, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Rogaska
0:0
Sep 3, 2016 3. SNL - North
Rogaska vs Smarje
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smarje Compare
Top Goalscorer Korez A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Rogaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Korosec A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pirtovsek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smarje 10 / 100
Rogaska 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smarje Rogaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rogaska Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rogaska has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Rogaska has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Smarje found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (37 games).
Scoring Trends
- VS Rogaska
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Smarje
(Home) 31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4 Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0 Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4 Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1 Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1 Posavje Krsko
Page 1 of 8
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4 Rogaska
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4 Sampion Celje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1 Posavje Krsko
09 Apr
Smarje
0 : 5 Podvinci
26 Mar
Smarje
0 : 3 Korotan Prevalje
Page 1 of 4
Rogaska
(Away) 23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3 Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2 Rogaska
02 May
Rogaska
0 : 1 Hajdina
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0 Rogaska
18 Apr
Rogaska
0 : 3 NK Smartno
Page 1 of 7
23 May
NK Carda Martjanci
3 : 3 Rogaska
10 May
Ljutomer
6 : 2 Rogaska
24 Apr
Korotan Prevalje
3 : 0 Rogaska
11 Apr
NK Brezice
2 : 1 Rogaska
29 Mar
Race
0 : 0 Rogaska
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ivancna Gorica 1
Rudar Trbovlje 4
TBD -
Acroni Jesenice -
Fama Vipava 1
ND Gorica 2
Dob 0
Domzale 1
Primorje 2
Tolmin 0
Jurovski Dol 0
Maribor 9
Starse 2
Fuzinar 4
NK Ljubljana 0
Radomlje 4
Polskava 0
SD Videm 4
Drava 1
Hajdina 2
Marjeta na Dravskem polju 2
Roho 3
Bela Krajina 1
Ilirija 3
NK Gancani 5
Verzej 2
Slatina 0
Beltinci 5
NK Sredisce 1
Bistrica 0
Rakican 0
Ljutomer 8
Zrece 0
Rudar 2
Grosuplje 0
O. Ljubljana 1
Srednja Bistrica 1
Odranci 3
Komen 0
Koper 6
NK Carda Martjanci 1
Grad 0
Turnisce 1
Dobrovnik 2
Sencur -
TBD -
Hodos 0
Mura 4
Stojnci 0
Podvinci 3
Izola 0
Tabor Sezana 1
Apace 0
Zavrc 4
TBD -
Triglav -
NK Polana 1
Nafta 4
Krsko Posavje 1
Celje 4
Trebnje 1
IB 1975 Ljubljana 2
Smarje 1
Rogaska 4
1/16-finals
Rudar Trbovlje 1
Acroni Jesenice 4
ND Gorica 2
Domzale 1
Primorje 1
Maribor 3
Fuzinar 0
Radomlje 2
SD Videm 3
Hajdina 2
Roho 0
Ilirija 5
NK Gancani 0
Beltinci 7
NK Sredisce 0
Ljutomer 4
Rudar 1
O. Ljubljana 4
Odranci 0
Koper 3
NK Carda Martjanci 7
Dobrovnik 2
Sencur 0
Mura 2
Podvinci 3
Tabor Sezana 2
Zavrc 1
Triglav 2
Nafta 2
Celje 1
IB 1975 Ljubljana 1
Rogaska 3
1/8-finals
Acroni Jesenice 1
ND Gorica 3
Maribor 1
Radomlje 2
SD Videm 1
Ilirija 3
Beltinci 5
Ljutomer 0
O. Ljubljana 2
Koper 4
NK Carda Martjanci 0
Mura 3
Podvinci 0
Triglav 1
Nafta 1
Rogaska 2
Quarter-finals
ND Gorica 4
Radomlje 1
Ilirija 1
Beltinci 2
Koper 1
Mura 2
Triglav 2
Rogaska 3
Semi-finals
ND Gorica 2
Beltinci 1
Mura 2
Rogaska 3
Final
ND Gorica 1
Rogaska 2
