Sport Picks
Match Events
74'
74'
Onoseke-Longadi J.
90'
90'
Modenius A.
AI Match Summary
The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Farsta finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Smedby carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Smedby Clean Sheet 11%
Farsta Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smedby | Farsta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.3 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:0
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
0:1
May 6, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
7:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smedby Compare
Top Goalscorer Onoseke-Longadi J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Farsta Compare
Top Goalscorer Modenius A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smedby 35 / 100
Farsta 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smedby Farsta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Farsta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Smedby scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Smedby went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Farsta let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Smedby VS Farsta
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Smedby
(Home) 29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1 Forward
22 Aug
Syrianska
2 : 2 Smedby
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0 Eker Orebro
08 Aug
Karlslund
1 : 1 Smedby
01 Aug
Smedby
2 : 0 Orebro Syrianska
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Smedby
3 : 1 Forward
15 Aug
Smedby
1 : 0 Eker Orebro
01 Aug
Smedby
2 : 0 Orebro Syrianska
21 Jun
Smedby
1 : 4 Haninge
30 May
Smedby
1 : 1 Farsta
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Farsta
(Away) 28 Aug
Farsta
4 : 1 Nacka FC
23 Aug
Orebro Syrianska
0 : 2 Farsta
14 Aug
Farsta
3 : 0 Nykopings
08 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2 Farsta
31 Jul
Farsta
1 : 1 Ragsved
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23 Aug
Orebro Syrianska
0 : 2 Farsta
08 Aug
Haninge
2 : 2 Farsta
27 Jun
Eker Orebro
1 : 4 Farsta
21 Jun
Karlslund
1 : 0 Farsta
30 May
Smedby
1 : 1 Farsta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sleipner | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 2 | Farsta | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 42:21 | 36 |
| 3 | Haninge | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 48:34 | 36 |
| 4 | Forward | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 37:23 | 36 |
| 5 | Smedby | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 38:25 | 34 |
| 6 | Nykopings | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31:21 | 33 |
| 7 | Ragsved | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36:31 | 29 |
| 8 | Fittja IF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Karlslund | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24:29 | 23 |
| 10 | Orebro Syrianska | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 18:22 | 20 |
| 11 | Lindo FF | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | 17 |
| 12 | Nacka FC | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 21:38 | 17 |
| 13 | Syrianska | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 28:48 | 16 |
| 14 | Eker Orebro | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)
