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Smedby vs Farsta

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smedby play Farsta in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Smedby averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Farsta averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Smedby won 1, Farsta won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Smedby and 1.69 for Farsta. This points to a Farsta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Smedby
17%
Draws
43%
Farsta
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Farsta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Smedby picked up more points recently compared to Farsta.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Smedby Clean Sheet 13%
Farsta Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Farsta
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.15 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
1:0
May 29, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Farsta
0:1
May 6, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Farsta vs Smedby
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Farsta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 39 / 100
Farsta 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Farsta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Farsta or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Smedby attacking → ← attacking Farsta

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Farsta let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Smedby went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Farsta lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 51
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atvidaberg26213270:1866
2Ragsved26163763:2951
3Sylvia26152951:3447
4Sleipner26126842:3642
5Farsta261321153:3841
6Enskede261151042:4138
7Smedby2689948:4833
8Nykopings26961139:4033
9Forward26951247:4932
10Syrianska26871134:5031
11Eker Orebro26941344:6531
12Huddinge26931448:6430
13Arameisk-Syrianska26651532:6323
14Syrianska Eskilstuna IF26281630:6814