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Smedby vs Fittja IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
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Match Events

62' Event
Bovbjerg M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Fittja IF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fittja IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Smedby
30%
Draws
47%
Fittja IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fittja IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Fittja IF haven't matched Smedby's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Smedby Clean Sheet 20%
Fittja IF Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Fittja IF
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Fittja IF
0:1
May 3, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Fittja IF vs Smedby
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Fittja IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Bovbjerg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 36 / 100
Fittja IF 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Fittja IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fittja IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Fittja IF has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Fittja IF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Fittja IF
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
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Fittja IF

(Away)
02 Oct
Farsta
2 : 1
Fittja IF
26 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Nacka FC
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
13 Sept
Fittja IF
1 : 2
Forward
06 Sept
Syrianska
0 : 0
Fittja IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 51:27 49
2 Sleipner 24 13 6 5 49:36 45
3 Forward 24 13 5 6 45:29 44
4 Nykopings 24 13 4 7 39:23 43
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 62:50 43
6 Ragsved 25 12 6 7 49:40 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 44:37 36
8 Fittja IF 24 10 3 11 37:38 33
9 Karlslund 24 8 7 9 37:38 31
10 Orebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 29:30 31
11 Nacka FC 25 8 3 14 31:49 27
12 Syrianska 25 7 5 13 39:54 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 33:52 20
14 Eker Orebro 24 4 3 17 29:71 15
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)