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Stadium Background

Smedby vs Karlslund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hodzic E.
26' Event
Malm M.
30' Event
Andersson F.

AI Match Summary

Smedby in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smedby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Smedby
33%
Draws
27%
Karlslund
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Smedby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Karlslund haven't matched Smedby's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Smedby a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Smedby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Smedby Clean Sheet 19%
Karlslund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Karlslund
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
4:1
Oct 21, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
0:5
Jun 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
3:0
Aug 8, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Karlslund
1:4
Jul 7, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Karlslund vs Smedby
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Malm M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Karlslund Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodzic E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 40 / 100
Karlslund 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Karlslund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Karlslund conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Smedby stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Karlslund
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nykopings1492327:1229
2Forward1492329:1829
3Haninge1491436:2628
4Farsta1481530:1725
5Sleipner1474326:2625
6Smedby1472529:2123
7Ragsved1464430:2322
8Fittja IF1462627:2720
9Orebro Syrianska1451816:1616
10Lindo FF1451821:2316
11Eker Orebro1442817:3614
12Karlslund1434715:2313
13Syrianska1433820:3512
14Nacka FC14211113:337