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Smedby vs Nykopings - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tidblom J.
72' Event
Holm M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand game between Smedby and Nykopings finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Smedby
30%
Draws
58%
Nykopings
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nykopings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Nykopings carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nykopings's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Svealand form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Smedby Clean Sheet 17%
Nykopings Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Nykopings
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Nykopings
1:1
Jun 15, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Smedby
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Nykopings
2:2
Jun 16, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Nykopings vs Smedby
0:1
Aug 5, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Nykopings
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smedby Compare

Top Goalscorer Tidblom J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nykopings Compare

Top Goalscorer Holm M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 10 / 100
Nykopings 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Nykopings

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nykopings Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Nykopings has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Smedby has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Nykopings
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
05 Sept
Nacka FC
1 : 1
Smedby
Page 1 of 7

Nykopings

(Away)
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
26 Sept
Nykopings
1 : 0
Syrianska
19 Sept
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 0
Nykopings
13 Sept
Nykopings
3 : 0
Eker Orebro
05 Sept
Lindo FF
0 : 3
Nykopings
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 51:27 49
2 Sleipner 25 14 6 5 51:36 48
3 Nykopings 25 14 4 7 43:24 46
4 Forward 25 13 5 7 46:31 44
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 62:50 43
6 Ragsved 25 12 6 7 49:40 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 44:37 36
8 Fittja IF 25 10 3 12 37:40 33
9 Orebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 29:30 31
10 Karlslund 25 8 7 10 38:42 31
11 Nacka FC 25 8 3 14 31:49 27
12 Syrianska 25 7 5 13 39:54 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 33:52 20
14 Eker Orebro 25 5 3 17 31:72 18
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)