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Smedby vs Sleipner - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smedby host Sleipner in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Smedby have averaged 2.1 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Sleipner's 1.93 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Sleipner slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.81) point toward Sleipner. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Smedby
30%
Draws
62%
Sleipner
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sleipner

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Sleipner carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sleipner a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Smedby Clean Sheet 11%
Sleipner Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smedby Sleipner
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:1
Sep 5, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Sleipner
1:2
Mar 31, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:1
Sep 20, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Smedby vs Sleipner
2:2
May 26, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Sleipner vs Smedby
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smedby 18 / 100
Sleipner 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smedby Sleipner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sleipner Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smedby's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sleipner let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Smedby stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smedby VS Sleipner
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smedby

(Home)
10 Oct
Ragsved
4 : 3
Smedby
02 Oct
Smedby
1 : 1
Nykopings
27 Sept
Haninge
2 : 1
Smedby
19 Sept
Smedby
0 : 1
Fittja IF
12 Sept
Farsta
3 : 0
Smedby
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Sleipner

(Away)
11 Oct
Sleipner
2 : 0
Fittja IF
03 Oct
Forward
1 : 1
Sleipner
27 Sept
Sleipner
0 : 0
Farsta
20 Sept
Syrianska
3 : 1
Sleipner
12 Sept
Sleipner
1 : 0
Nacka FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Farsta 25 15 4 6 51:27 49
2 Sleipner 25 14 6 5 51:36 48
3 Nykopings 25 14 4 7 43:24 46
4 Forward 25 13 5 7 46:31 44
5 Haninge 25 13 4 8 62:50 43
6 Ragsved 25 12 6 7 49:40 42
7 Smedby 25 10 6 9 44:37 36
8 Fittja IF 25 10 3 12 37:40 33
9 Orebro Syrianska 25 9 4 12 29:30 31
10 Karlslund 25 8 7 10 38:42 31
11 Nacka FC 25 8 3 14 31:49 27
12 Syrianska 25 7 5 13 39:54 26
13 Lindo FF 25 6 2 17 33:52 20
14 Eker Orebro 25 5 3 17 31:72 18
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Svealand (Relegation)