Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs FAP

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Andjelkovic J.

AI Match Summary

FAP in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FAP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Smederevo
35%
Draws
34%
FAP
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Smederevo have won more games recently than FAP.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 18%
FAP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo FAP
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.18
Goals Conceded 1 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FAP
2:3
Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Smederevo vs FAP
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FAP
5:1
Aug 10, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FAP vs Smederevo
0:1
May 7, 2023 Srpska Liga - West
Smederevo vs FAP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

FAP Compare

Top Goalscorer Andjelkovic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 31 / 100
FAP 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo FAP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Smederevo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Smederevo's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FAP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS FAP
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
30 Aug
TSC Backa Topola
1 : 1
Smederevo
24 Aug
Smederevo
1 : 1
Teleoptik
19 Aug
Metalac
0 : 0
Smederevo
15 Aug
Smederevo
4 : 1
OFK Bor 1919
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2
Smederevo
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FAP

(Away)
02 Sept
Mokra Gora
0 : 1
FAP
29 Aug
FK Zlatibor Cajetina
3 : 0
FAP
22 Aug
FAP
3 : 0
Omladinac Zablace
15 Aug
FAP
0 : 0
Real Podunavci
29 May
FAP
3 : 1
Graficar Beograd
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