Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion FK Smederevo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smederevo play FK Vozdovac in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Smederevo averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. FK Vozdovac averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Smederevo won 1, FK Vozdovac won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Smederevo and 1.81 for FK Vozdovac. This points to a FK Vozdovac double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Smederevo
44%
Draws
20%
FK Vozdovac
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Smederevo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FK Vozdovac.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 11%
FK Vozdovac Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo FK Vozdovac
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FK Vozdovac vs Smederevo
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FK Vozdovac vs Smederevo
0:1
Mar 14, 2009 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FK Vozdovac vs Smederevo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FK Vozdovac Compare

Top Goalscorer Braunovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 35 / 100
FK Vozdovac 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo FK Vozdovac

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VOZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smederevo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

FK Vozdovac let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Smederevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FK Vozdovac lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS FK Vozdovac
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zemun30189348:2663
2Macva Sabac30169541:2557
3FK Vozdovac30168647:2356
4Loznica30139830:2548
5Jedinstvo Ub301111844:3944
6Vrsac30914730:2741
7Graficar Beograd3010101030:2940
8Smederevo301171234:2840
9Dinamo Jug301012831:2938
10Tekstilac Odzaci309101134:4137
11Borac 192630991230:3336
12Dubocica307101329:4431
13Kabel Novi Sad306121222:4030
14Trayal Krusevac30781533:3629
15FAP30681626:4726
16Usce304101623:4022