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Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Vranjanin M.
37'
Vranjanin M.
37'
Vranjanin M.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Smederevo and FK Vozdovac finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Smederevo
20%
Draws
32%
FK Vozdovac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Vozdovac haven't matched Smederevo's recent run of results.
  • Smederevo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 68%
FK Vozdovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo FK Vozdovac
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.72 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FK Vozdovac vs Smederevo
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
FK Vozdovac vs Smederevo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kodzic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FK Vozdovac Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 59 / 100
FK Vozdovac 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo FK Vozdovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smederevo scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: FK Vozdovac conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Smederevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS FK Vozdovac
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
Page 1 of 6

FK Vozdovac

(Away)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0
Napredak
21 Sept
Spartak Subotica
0 : 2
FK Vozdovac
16 Sept
FK Vozdovac
1 : 0
Jedinstvo Ub
12 Sept
Javor
1 : 1
FK Vozdovac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)