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Smederevo vs Proleter 023 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smederevo host Proleter 023 in the Mozzart Bet Prva Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Proleter 023 have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Smederevo have conceded 1.18 and scored 1.68. Head-to-head, Smederevo have won 0 to Proleter 023's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2025, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.25) back Proleter 023 to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Smederevo
20%
Draws
32%
Proleter 023
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Proleter 023 come out ahead of Smederevo on wins alone.
  • Smederevo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 19%
Proleter 023 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Proleter 023
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.68 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.18 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Mozzart Serbian Cup
Proleter 023 vs Smederevo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 36 / 100
Proleter 023 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Proleter 023

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smederevo scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Proleter 023 conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Smederevo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Proleter 023
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
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Proleter 023

(Away)
04 Oct
Spartak Subotica
0 : 6
Proleter 023
28 Sept
Proleter 023
3 : 0
Jedinstvo Ub
21 Sept
Javor
4 : 2
Proleter 023
16 Sept
Proleter 023
1 : 1
TSC Backa Topola
10 Sept
Teleoptik
1 : 1
Proleter 023
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)