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Smederevo vs Spartak Subotica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hadzic I.
24' Event
Hadzic I.
27'
Trajkovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Smederevo and Spartak Subotica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Smederevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Smederevo
15%
Draws
17%
Spartak Subotica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smederevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smederevo come out ahead of Spartak Subotica on wins alone.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Smederevo taking it.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Smederevo Clean Sheet 68%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smederevo Spartak Subotica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.68 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Smederevo vs Spartak Subotica
2:1
Apr 21, 2013 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Smederevo
2:0
Oct 20, 2012 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Smederevo vs Spartak Subotica
0:2
May 5, 2012 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Smederevo
4:1
Nov 27, 2011 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Smederevo vs Spartak Subotica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smederevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadzic I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spartak Subotica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smederevo 95 / 100
Spartak Subotica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smederevo Spartak Subotica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smederevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Smederevo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Smederevo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smederevo VS Spartak Subotica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smederevo

(Home)
05 Oct
Smederevo
1 : 0
FK Vozdovac
26 Sept
Smederevo
1 : 0
Vrsac
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
12 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 1
Smederevo
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Subotica

(Away)
04 Oct
Spartak Subotica
0 : 6
Proleter 023
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Spartak Subotica
0 : 2
FK Vozdovac
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)