Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Kemper R.
40'
40'
Bos L.
62'
62'
Bolhuis M.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between Smitshoek and Gemert finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gemert.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
20%
58%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gemert
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gemert carry the better recent record into this one.
- Gemert are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 19%
Gemert Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smitshoek | Gemert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Gemert
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Derde Divisie
Gemert vs Smitshoek
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Smitshoek Compare
Top Goalscorer Bos L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Gemert Compare
Top Goalscorer Kemper R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bolhuis M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Smitshoek 10 / 100
Gemert 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Smitshoek Gemert
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gemert Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Gemert conceded in 83% of 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Smitshoek has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Gemert
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Smitshoek
(Home) 02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1 Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2 Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1 Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5 VV Kloetinge
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9 VVSB
19 Apr
Smitshoek
1 : 2 TOGB
05 Apr
Smitshoek
0 : 2 SteDoCo
15 Mar
Smitshoek
0 : 2 Meerssen
Page 1 of 3
Gemert
(Away) 20 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1 UNA
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2 Gemert
02 Sept
FC 's-Gravenzande
0 : 2 Gemert
30 Aug
Dongen
3 : 2 Gemert
15 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2 Gemert
23 May
GOES
3 : 3 Gemert
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
