Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smitshoek vs Rijnvogels

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bos L.
45' Event
Urban N.
49' Event
van der Ent Q.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Smitshoek
15%
Draws
68%
Rijnvogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rijnvogels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rijnvogels lately — more wins on the board than Smitshoek.
  • Model gives Rijnvogels a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 18%
Rijnvogels Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek Rijnvogels
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs Rijnvogels
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
Rijnvogels vs Smitshoek
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bos L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urban N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Rijnvogels Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Meer M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 10 / 100
Rijnvogels 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek Rijnvogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rijnvogels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smitshoek's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Rijnvogels has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Smitshoek stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rijnvogels
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6

Rijnvogels

(Away)
27 Sept
RKSV UDI 19
0 : 4
Rijnvogels
22 Sept
Rijnvogels
0 : 1
VVSB
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
05 Sept
Rijnvogels
5 : 2
Dongen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)