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Smitshoek vs VVOG

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Urban N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Smitshoek advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Smitshoek
15%
Draws
42%
VVOG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smitshoek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • VVOG carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans VVOG's way, sitting at 90%.
  • VVOG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Smitshoek, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 10%
VVOG Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek VVOG
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 3
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.66 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Derde Divisie
VVOG vs Smitshoek
2:4
May 30, 2023 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs VVOG
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Urban N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

VVOG Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 10 / 100
VVOG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek VVOG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVOG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Smitshoek scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

VVOG let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

VVOG lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smitshoek VS VVOG
2 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 7

VVOG

(Away)
02 Sept
Blauw Geel
2 : 1
VVOG
10 Aug
Eemdijk
2 : 4
VVOG
03 Aug
VVOG
0 : 3
ACV Assen
03 Jun
VVOG
2 : 4
Smitshoek
30 May
Smitshoek
1 : 0
VVOG
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Smitshoek 5
VVOG 2
ODIN '59 7
Swift 2
Genemuiden 3
Excelsior 31 1
AZSV 3
Capelle 6
HBS Craeyenhout 2
Watergraafsmeer 6
Be Quick 1887 1
Kampong 4
SV Juliana 31 1
Baronie 2
AWC 2
RKAVV Leidschendam 1
Final
Smitshoek 3
ODIN '59 6
Genemuiden 6
Capelle 3
Watergraafsmeer 1
Kampong 3
Baronie 1
AWC 2