Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smitshoek vs VVSB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Verver G.
23' Event
Fecunda R.
27' Event
Verver G.

AI Match Summary

VVSB in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored VVSB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Smitshoek
15%
Draws
49%
VVSB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VVSB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VVSB lately — more wins on the board than Smitshoek.
  • Model gives VVSB a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Smitshoek Clean Sheet 14%
VVSB Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smitshoek VVSB
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.6 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
Smitshoek vs VVSB
2:9
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Smitshoek
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smitshoek Compare

Top Goalscorer Delmee L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van de Kreeke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

VVSB Compare

Top Goalscorer Verver G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader van Velzen G.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smitshoek 10 / 100
VVSB 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smitshoek VVSB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVSB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smitshoek scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

VVSB has conceded goals in 69% of their last 35 outings.

VVSB lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS VVSB
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Smitshoek

(Home)
02 Aug
Barendrecht
2 : 1
Smitshoek
24 May
Smitshoek
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
17 May
UNA
1 : 2
Smitshoek
10 May
Smitshoek
2 : 9
VVSB
03 May
Kozakken Boys
7 : 1
Smitshoek
Page 1 of 6

VVSB

(Away)
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3
VVSB
22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)