Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon vs FC Slonim

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Sub
Petrusevich A. In: Tishko A.
Out: Petrusevich A.
43'
Telepov A.
45'
Yamlikhanov R.

AI Match Summary

Smorgon host FC Slonim in the Pershaya Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Smorgon at 2.63 goals for, 1.5 against; FC Slonim at 2.63 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Smorgon slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.06) point toward FC Slonim. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Smorgon
33%
Draws
27%
FC Slonim
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Slonim has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Smorgon.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Smorgon.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pershaya Liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%
FC Slonim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon FC Slonim
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2
Aug 13, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
2:0
Sep 19, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FC Slonim
0:2
May 17, 2020 Pershaya Liga
FC Slonim vs Smorgon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

FC Slonim Compare

Top Goalscorer Alenchev P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mushulov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 38 / 100
FC Slonim 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon FC Slonim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SMO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

FC Slonim let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Smorgon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Slonim lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS FC Slonim
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slutsk15112232:1635
2SKA-1938 Minsk15104137:1634
3FK Lida1583427:2327
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
6Soligorsk1574433:2025
7BumProm Gomel1573530:2124
8Din. Minsk 21473429:2024
9Volna Pinsk1572625:2523
10Molodechno1561821:3119
11FC Gomel 21545623:2117
12FC Minsk 21551918:3116
13Orsha1443715:2515
14Ostrovets1529418:2115
15Uni X Labs1543813:2415
16Smorgon1535718:2414
17BATE 21525820:3711
18Osipovichi15111315:474