Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon vs FK Lida

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Smorgon
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Legchilin A.
Assist: Kutsepalov D.
35' Event
Dukso M.
Assist: Kovalevich V.
45'
Puzach A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Smorgon
15%
Draws
57%
FK Lida
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Lida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FK Lida lately — more wins on the board than Smorgon.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%
FK Lida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon FK Lida
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FK Lida
4:4
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Smorgon vs FK Lida
2:3
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Smorgon vs FK Lida
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 Pershaya Liga
FK Lida vs Smorgon
1:3
May 7, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs FK Lida
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Dukso M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kovalevich V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FK Lida Compare

Top Goalscorer Puzach A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Legchilin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 35 / 100
FK Lida 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon FK Lida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Lida Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Lida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Smorgon's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Smorgon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS FK Lida
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2
Smorgon
22 Aug
Smorgon
0 : 1
Ostrovets
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2
Smorgon
10 Aug
Smorgon
2 : 0
BATE 2
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0
Smorgon
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FK Lida

(Away)
29 Aug
Soligorsk
1 : 2
FK Lida
23 Aug
FK Lida
3 : 2
Niva Dolbizno
15 Aug
SKA-1938 Minsk
3 : 2
FK Lida
09 Aug
FK Lida
2 : 1
Slutsk
05 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
1 : 2
FK Lida
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niva Dolbizno 22 14 3 5 57:26 45
2 Slutsk 22 13 5 4 43:23 44
3 FK Lida 22 13 3 6 42:35 42
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 22 12 5 5 43:26 41
5 Molodechno 22 12 2 8 38:34 38
6 FC Slonim 22 11 3 8 40:28 36
7 BumProm Gomel 22 10 4 8 41:33 34
8 Din. Minsk 2 22 9 4 9 40:35 31
9 Volna Pinsk 22 9 4 9 37:39 31
10 Soligorsk 22 8 5 9 42:40 29
11 FC Minsk 2 22 9 2 11 30:38 29
12 Ostrovets 22 6 9 7 27:31 27
13 Orsha 22 7 4 11 25:40 25
14 Uni X Labs 22 6 6 10 21:28 24
15 Smorgon 22 6 5 11 26:33 23
16 FC Gomel 2 22 5 6 11 30:39 21
17 BATE 2 22 4 6 12 31:51 18
18 Osipovichi 22 5 2 15 23:57 17
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)