Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Smorgon host Orsha in the Pershaya Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Orsha have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Smorgon have conceded 1.34 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Smorgon slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.06) point toward Smorgon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Smorgon come out ahead of Orsha on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smorgon | Orsha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Orsha has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Smorgon's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Smorgon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Smorgon
(Home)Orsha
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 61:30 | 66 |
| 2 | FK Lida | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 57:44 | 66 |
| 3 | Niva Dolbizno | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 81:38 | 65 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 68:36 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 53:38 | 53 |
| 6 | Soligorsk | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 62:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Molodechno | 31 | 15 | 3 | 13 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 8 | Ostrovets | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 43:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Volna Pinsk | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 46:56 | 41 |
| 10 | BumProm Gomel | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | Smorgon | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36:41 | 39 |
| 12 | Din. Minsk 2 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 43:45 | 38 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 46:59 | 36 |
| 14 | Uni X Labs | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 32:40 | 33 |
| 15 | Orsha | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38:58 | 33 |
| 16 | FC Gomel 2 | 31 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 43:66 | 24 |
| 17 | Osipovichi | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 34:79 | 23 |
| 18 | BATE 2 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 39:70 | 22 |
