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Stadium Background

Smorgon vs Osipovichi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium, Smorgon
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AI Match Summary

Smorgon in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Smorgon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Smorgon
30%
Draws
12%
Osipovichi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Smorgon lately — more wins on the board than Osipovichi.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Smorgon taking it.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Smorgon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 20%
Osipovichi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon Osipovichi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.54 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Osipovichi
2:0
Jun 6, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Smorgon
0:5
Oct 1, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Smorgon
0:4
May 21, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Osipovichi
1:0
Oct 7, 2017 Pershaya Liga
Osipovichi vs Smorgon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 85 / 100
Osipovichi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon Osipovichi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Osipovichi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Smorgon's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Smorgon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS Osipovichi
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Smorgon

(Home)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
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Osipovichi

(Away)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
27 Sept
Osipovichi
3 : 3
BumProm Gomel
19 Sept
FC Minsk 2
1 : 1
Osipovichi
13 Sept
Soligorsk
2 : 1
Osipovichi
05 Sept
Osipovichi
1 : 2
FK Lida
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slutsk 27 17 6 4 56:28 57
2 Niva Dolbizno 27 17 4 6 67:31 55
3 FK Lida 27 17 3 7 51:43 54
4 SKA-1938 Minsk 27 16 5 6 56:31 53
5 FC Slonim 27 14 5 8 49:32 47
6 Molodechno 26 14 3 9 45:40 45
7 BumProm Gomel 27 12 5 10 52:41 41
8 Soligorsk 27 11 7 9 52:44 40
9 Din. Minsk 2 25 10 5 10 42:37 35
10 Ostrovets 27 8 11 8 37:39 35
11 Volna Pinsk 27 10 4 13 40:50 34
12 Smorgon 27 9 6 12 33:36 33
13 FC Minsk 2 27 9 3 15 37:50 30
14 Orsha 27 7 6 14 28:51 27
15 Uni X Labs 26 6 8 12 25:35 26
16 BATE 2 27 5 7 15 36:61 22
17 FC Gomel 2 27 5 6 16 36:55 21
18 Osipovichi 27 5 4 18 29:67 19
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)