Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga Yunost Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smorgon play Volna Pinsk in the Pershaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Smorgon averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Volna Pinsk averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Smorgon won 4, Volna Pinsk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Smorgon and 1.88 for Volna Pinsk. This points to a Volna Pinsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Smorgon
40%
Draws
29%
Volna Pinsk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Volna Pinsk has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Smorgon.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Pershaya Liga provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%
Volna Pinsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon Volna Pinsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk
1:3
Nov 12, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk
2:0
Jul 23, 2022 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon
1:3
Aug 22, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Volna Pinsk vs Smorgon
2:3
Apr 25, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Volna Pinsk
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsangou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Volna Pinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyash D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nikoporenok E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon 30 / 100
Volna Pinsk 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon Volna Pinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Volna Pinsk let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Smorgon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Volna Pinsk lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon VS Volna Pinsk
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SKA-1938 Minsk15104137:1634
2Slutsk14102230:1632
3Niva Dolbizno1583435:1827
4FC Slonim1583428:1727
5FK Lida1473423:2224
6Din. Minsk 21373329:1824
7Volna Pinsk1472523:2123
8BumProm Gomel1472529:2023
9Soligorsk1464429:1822
10Molodechno1461719:2819
11FC Gomel 21444622:2016
12Ostrovets1529418:2115
13Orsha1342714:2414
14Smorgon1434717:2313
15FC Minsk 21441915:2913
16Uni X Labs1433812:2412
17BATE 21425719:3311
18Osipovichi14111215:464