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Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women 2024 Yunost Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Smorgon W play Dnepr Mogilev W in the Vysshaya Liga Women 2024. Dnepr Mogilev W are favorites here. Recently, Smorgon W averaged 0.13 goals scored and 5.5 conceded. Dnepr Mogilev W averaged 4.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Smorgon W won 0, Dnepr Mogilev W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.56 for Smorgon W and 4.00 for Dnepr Mogilev W. This points to a Dnepr Mogilev W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Smorgon W
6%
Draws
90%
Dnepr Mogilev W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Smorgon W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Dnepr Mogilev W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Vysshaya Liga Women 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%
Dnepr Mogilev W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smorgon W Dnepr Mogilev W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 1 21
Draws 1 4
Losses 28 7
Goals Scored 0.13 4.25
Goals Conceded 5.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:4
Oct 12, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:12
Aug 24, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
0:9
Jun 1, 2024 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Smorgon W
8:0
Sep 9, 2023 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Smorgon W
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Dnepr Mogilev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhitko K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barborenko V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.86
Avg xA / game 2.36

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smorgon W 10 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smorgon W Dnepr Mogilev W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DNE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon W scored in 10% of their last 30 games.

Dnepr Mogilev W let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 8.20 goals.

Smorgon W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dnepr Mogilev W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Smorgon W VS Dnepr Mogilev W
0.13 Goals Scored 4.25
5.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Minsk FK W302721193:683
2Din. Minsk W302721205:1183
3SKA-1938 Minsk W302325156:1871
4Vitebsk W3017211100:4153
5Belarus U19 W3016410104:4352
6Dnepr Mogilev W3015213107:6147
7Dynamo Brest W301211767:5837
8Bobruichanka W30931843:10130
9FC Gomel W30512416:16916
10Dyussh-Polesgu W30302716:2449
11Smorgon W3011287:2624