Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Smouha vs Al Masry

Egypt Egypt

Premier League 2025/2026 Suez Stadium, Suez
Smouha Logo

Smouha

0 - 1
FT
Al Masry Logo

Al Masry

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Temine M.
Assist: El Saadawy A.
26'
El Saadawy A.
33'
Samadou A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Masry in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Masry.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Smouha
15%
Draws
78%
Al Masry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Masry lately — more wins on the board than Smouha.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Al Masry taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al Masry here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Smouha Clean Sheet 18%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Smouha Al Masry
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.15
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
1:0
Apr 27, 2026 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:1
Jan 5, 2026 League Cup
Al Masry vs Smouha
2:0
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League
Al Masry vs Smouha
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Masry
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Smouha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Temine M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Smouha 10 / 100
Al Masry 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Smouha Al Masry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Masry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smouha scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Al Masry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Smouha remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Smouha VS Al Masry
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Smouha

(Home)
03 Sept
Al Ahly
1 : 0
Smouha
26 Aug
Smouha
0 : 0
Asyut Petroleum
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
20 May
Pyramids
2 : 1
Smouha
05 May
Smouha
0 : 1
Zamalek
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Al Masry

(Away)
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
08 Jun
Enppi
0 : 3
Al Masry
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0
ZED FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 4 1 1 7:4 56
2 Pyramids 6 3 2 1 10:6 54
3 Al Ahly 6 4 1 1 11:5 53
4 Ceramica Cleopatra 6 1 3 2 5:5 44
5 Al Masry 6 2 2 2 6:9 40
6 Enppi 6 1 3 2 7:9 36
7 Smouha 6 0 0 6 2:10 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)