Sport Picks
Smouha vs Ghazl El Mahallah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Egypt
Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria 
AI Match Summary
Smouha host Ghazl El Mahallah in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Smouha have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Ghazl El Mahallah's 0.83 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Smouha slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 27, 2025, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.88, favoring Smouha. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Smouha carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Smouha a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Smouha | Ghazl El Mahallah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 14 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ghazl El Mahallah let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Away concern: Ghazl El Mahallah has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Smouha's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Smouha
(Home)Ghazl El Mahallah
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Zamalek | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 5 | Modern Sport | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Alexandria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 7 | Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 9 | El Gaish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 10 | ZED FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Al Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 13 | National Bank Egypt | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qir Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:8 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petroleum | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | 1 |
