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SNIM vs Kaedi

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Bilal A.
48' Event
Thiam M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between SNIM and Kaedi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SNIM
20%
Draws
51%
Kaedi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kaedi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SNIM come out ahead of Kaedi on wins alone.
  • Model gives SNIM a 29% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SNIM Clean Sheet 20%
Kaedi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SNIM Kaedi
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.06 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Kaedi
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs SNIM
1:3
May 23, 2025 Ligue 1
SNIM vs Kaedi
3:1
Jan 12, 2025 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs SNIM
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Kaedi vs SNIM
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SNIM Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Kaedi Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiam M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SNIM 40 / 100
Kaedi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SNIM Kaedi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SNI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SNIM found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Kaedi conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SNIM stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SNIM VS Kaedi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SNIM

(Home)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
20 May
Tevragh-Zeina
0 : 2
SNIM
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
29 Apr
SNIM
0 : 0
Douane
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Kaedi

(Away)
23 May
Nouakchott King's
2 : 0
Kaedi
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
09 May
Kaedi
1 : 1
Douane
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
29 Apr
Kaedi
2 : 4
Tevragh-Zeina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)