Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Litija

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Radonjic A.
63' Event
Mlakar R.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Sobec Lesce and Litija finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Sobec Lesce
35%
Draws
52%
Litija
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Litija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sobec Lesce come out ahead of Litija on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 17%
Litija Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Litija
Matches Played 29 8
Wins 7 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Litija
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobec Lesce Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlakar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Litija Compare

Top Goalscorer Radonjic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 31 / 100
Litija 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Litija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sobec Lesce found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Litija has conceded goals in 63% of their last 8 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sobec Lesce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Litija
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
Page 1 of 6

Litija

(Away)
19 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
0 : 3
Litija
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
30 Aug
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 3
Litija
22 Aug
Litija
1 : 2
Rudar Trbovlje
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 6 6 0 0 28:4 18
2 Zidgrad Idrija 6 5 1 0 10:4 16
3 Dob 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
4 Rudar Trbovlje 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
5 Sencur 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
6 Skofja Loka 6 2 3 1 12:10 9
7 Tolmin 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
8 Litija 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Adria Miren 6 2 1 3 11:11 7
10 Ziri 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
11 IB 1975 Ljubljana 6 1 0 5 6:13 3
12 Fama Vipava 6 1 0 5 10:28 3
13 Sobec Lesce 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)