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Sobec Lesce vs Ljubljana Svoboda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Pintaric N.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Kolenco M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Sobec Lesce and Ljubljana Svoboda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sobec Lesce
20%
Draws
48%
Ljubljana Svoboda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ljubljana Svoboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Ljubljana Svoboda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sobec Lesce's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 16%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Ljubljana Svoboda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Ljubljana Svoboda
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Ljubljana Svoboda
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sobec Lesce
0:1
Mar 22, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Sobec Lesce
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Ljubljana Svoboda
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobec Lesce Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolenco M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ljubljana Svoboda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 39 / 100
Ljubljana Svoboda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Ljubljana Svoboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobec Lesce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ljubljana Svoboda conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ljubljana Svoboda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sobec Lesce's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Ljubljana Svoboda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
10 Oct
Sobec Lesce
0 : 0
Sencur
03 Oct
Dob
3 : 0
Sobec Lesce
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
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Ljubljana Svoboda

(Away)
10 Oct
Ljubljana Svoboda
1 : 0
Skofja Loka
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
19 Sept
Dob
4 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 9 9 0 0 40:6 27
2 Dob 9 6 2 1 22:7 20
3 Zidgrad Idrija 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
4 Sencur 9 4 4 1 17:11 16
5 Litija 9 4 3 2 16:8 15
6 Tolmin 9 4 3 2 18:12 15
7 Rudar Trbovlje 9 4 1 4 13:19 13
8 Skofja Loka 9 3 3 3 15:18 12
9 Adria Miren 9 3 1 5 19:17 10
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 9 2 1 6 9:18 7
11 Ziri 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
12 Fama Vipava 9 2 0 7 14:41 6
13 Ljubljana Svoboda 9 1 1 7 6:21 4
14 Sobec Lesce 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)