Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gobec T.
17' Event
Bicakcic H.
75' Event
Gobec T.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Zidgrad Idrija in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zidgrad Idrija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sobec Lesce
20%
Draws
73%
Zidgrad Idrija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Sobec Lesce haven't matched Zidgrad Idrija's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sobec Lesce have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 16%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Zidgrad Idrija
4:0
Aug 23, 2025 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Sobec Lesce
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobec Lesce Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicakcic H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Zidgrad Idrija Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobec T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 36 / 100
Zidgrad Idrija 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Zidgrad Idrija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Sobec Lesce's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zidgrad Idrija let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Sobec Lesce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Zidgrad Idrija
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
26 Sept
Sobec Lesce
2 : 3
Fama Vipava
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

Zidgrad Idrija

(Away)
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 7 7 0 0 34:4 21
2 Dob 7 5 1 1 18:6 16
3 Zidgrad Idrija 7 5 1 1 11:7 16
4 Tolmin 7 3 3 1 16:10 12
5 Sencur 7 3 3 1 13:9 12
6 Litija 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
7 Rudar Trbovlje 7 3 1 3 10:15 10
8 Skofja Loka 7 2 3 2 12:16 9
9 Adria Miren 7 2 1 4 11:14 7
10 Ziri 7 1 4 2 7:10 7
11 Fama Vipava 7 2 0 5 13:30 6
12 IB 1975 Ljubljana 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
13 Sobec Lesce 7 0 3 4 6:13 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 7 0 1 6 5:19 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)