Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobec Lesce vs Ziri

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sobec Lesce in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sobec Lesce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sobec Lesce
35%
Draws
46%
Ziri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ziri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ziri average 1.12 goals a game right now, well clear of Sobec Lesce's 1.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 17%
Ziri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobec Lesce Ziri
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Ziri
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Sobec Lesce
1:1
Mar 8, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Sobec Lesce
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Ziri
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Sobec Lesce
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobec Lesce 36 / 100
Ziri 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobec Lesce Ziri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ziri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sobec Lesce scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ziri has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sobec Lesce stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobec Lesce VS Ziri
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobec Lesce

(Home)
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
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Ziri

(Away)
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Ziri
0 : 3
Dob
23 Aug
Fama Vipava
1 : 3
Ziri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)