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Sobradinho vs Brasiliense

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

89'
Elyeser

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sobradinho
30%
Draws
37%
Brasiliense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Brasiliense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Sobradinho have won more games recently than Brasiliense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 68%
Brasiliense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Brasiliense
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.94 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Brasiliense
0:0
Jan 25, 2020 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
2:0
Mar 20, 2019 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
1:0
Apr 7, 2018 Brasiliense
Brasiliense vs Sobradinho
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 41 / 100
Brasiliense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Brasiliense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sobradinho found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Sobradinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brasiliense let in goals in 53% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Brasiliense
0.4 Goals Scored 1.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 1
20% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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Brasiliense

(Away)
27 Jun
Goiatuba EC
1 : 0
Brasiliense
21 Jun
Brasiliense
0 : 0
Goiatuba EC
07 Jun
Primavera AC
1 : 2
Brasiliense
31 May
Brasiliense
1 : 1
Luverdense
24 May
Brasiliense
1 : 0
Inhumas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 9 7 1 1 15:4 22
2 Capital 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 12:8 19
4 Gama 9 5 2 2 7:4 17
5 Paranoa 9 5 0 4 13:11 15
6 Sobradinho 9 3 3 3 9:6 12
7 Samambaia 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
8 Real Brasilia 9 1 2 6 6:15 5
9 Ceilandense 9 1 2 6 8:18 5
10 Legiao 9 0 1 8 3:20 1
Promotion - Brasiliense 2025 (Play Offs)