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Sobradinho vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2005
Sobradinho Logo

Sobradinho

1 - 2
FT
Candango Logo

Candango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Candango in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Candango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Sobradinho
20%
Draws
10%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Sobradinho have won more games recently than Candango.
  • Model gives Sobradinho a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Candango
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 23
Goals Scored 1.87 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.7 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2005 Brasiliense
Candango vs Sobradinho
2:1
Jan 30, 2005 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Candango
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 85 / 100
Candango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Candango conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Sobradinho's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sobradinho stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Candango
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 6

Candango

(Away)
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
13 Sept
Planaltina
2 : 0
Candango
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 10 8 2 0 29:10 26
2 Paranoa 10 6 1 3 21:13 19
3 Candango 10 5 4 1 21:12 19
4 Real Brasilia 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
5 Sobradinho 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
6 Bandeirante DF 10 0 1 9 10:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 10 7 3 0 20:7 24
2 Gama 10 6 3 1 18:10 21
3 Luziania 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Unai EC 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
5 Guara 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
6 Santa Maria 10 0 4 6 12:25 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)