Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobradinho vs Candango

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2005
Sobradinho Logo

Sobradinho

1 - 2
FT
Candango Logo

Candango

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Candango in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Candango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sobradinho
6%
Draws
4%
Candango
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sobradinho have won more games recently than Candango.
  • Model gives Sobradinho a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Candango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Candango
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 18 5
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 1.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.75 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2005 Brasiliense
Candango vs Sobradinho
2:1
Jan 30, 2005 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Candango
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 85 / 100
Candango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Candango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Candango conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Candango's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sobradinho found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Candango
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 8

Candango

(Away)
11 Oct
Brasilia FC (DF)
6 : 0
Candango
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
28 Sept
Candango
0 : 7
Planaltina
20 Sept
Cruzeiro FC
5 : 0
Candango
14 Sept
Candango
3 : 4
Gremio Valparaiso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 10 8 2 0 29:10 26
2 Paranoa 10 6 1 3 21:13 19
3 Candango 10 5 4 1 21:12 19
4 Real Brasilia 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
5 Sobradinho 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
6 Bandeirante DF 10 0 1 9 10:37 1
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 10 7 3 0 20:7 24
2 Gama 10 6 3 1 18:10 21
3 Luziania 10 4 3 3 13:8 15
4 Unai EC 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
5 Guara 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
6 Santa Maria 10 0 4 6 12:25 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2005 (Championship Group)