Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sobradinho vs Gama

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Estádio Defelé, Brasília
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Felipe Clemente

AI Match Summary

Gama in this Brasiliense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sobradinho
20%
Draws
47%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gama lately — more wins on the board than Sobradinho.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Gama taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gama have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 16%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Gama
Matches Played 32 43
Wins 17 31
Draws 9 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.94 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Gama
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
0:0
Apr 10, 2021 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Gama
1:4
Aug 15, 2020 Brasiliense
Gama vs Sobradinho
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobradinho Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Clemente
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 19 / 100
Gama 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sobradinho found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Sobradinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gama let in goals in 47% of their last 43 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gama
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 7

Gama

(Away)
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
19 Jul
America RN
1 : 0
Gama
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 9 7 2 0 15:4 23
2 Samambaia 9 6 2 1 21:5 20
3 Sobradinho 9 5 2 2 11:8 17
4 Ceilandia 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Capital 9 4 3 2 19:10 15
6 Brasiliense 9 4 3 2 13:7 15
7 Real Brasilia 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
8 Paranoa 9 2 0 7 8:24 6
9 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 1 0 8 4:19 3
10 ARUC 9 1 0 8 3:20 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasiliense 2 (Main)