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Sobradinho vs Riacho City

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Charles
13' Event
Medeiros P.
24' Event
Paranhos

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Sobradinho and Riacho City finished 9-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sobradinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sobradinho
15%
Draws
26%
Riacho City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sobradinho carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sobradinho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Riacho City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Riacho City
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 18 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.12 1
Goals Conceded 0.79 4.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.67 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Sobradinho vs Riacho City
9:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sobradinho Compare

Top Goalscorer Charles
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gilvan
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

Riacho City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 85 / 100
Riacho City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Riacho City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riacho City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sobradinho scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Sobradinho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS Riacho City
1.63 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.71
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
Page 1 of 7

Riacho City

(Away)
11 Oct
Cruzeiro FC
3 : 0
Riacho City
05 Oct
Riacho City
3 : 5
ARUC
27 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
2 : 3
Riacho City
21 Sept
Riacho City
1 : 8
Brasilia FC (DF)
14 Sept
Planaltina
6 : 0
Riacho City
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)