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Sobradinho vs Unai EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Sobradinho Logo

Sobradinho

1 - 5
FT
Unai EC Logo

Unai EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 game between Sobradinho and Unai EC finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unai EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sobradinho
15%
Draws
39%
Unai EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sobradinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sobradinho come out ahead of Unai EC on wins alone.
  • Sobradinho are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sobradinho Clean Sheet 20%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sobradinho Unai EC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.84 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2021 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Unai EC
1:5
Feb 8, 2020 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Unai EC
2:1
Mar 10, 2019 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Unai EC
1:0
Feb 10, 2018 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Sobradinho
1:2
Feb 12, 2017 Brasiliense
Sobradinho vs Unai EC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sobradinho 49 / 100
Unai EC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sobradinho Unai EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobradinho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sobradinho scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Sobradinho remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sobradinho VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sobradinho

(Home)
21 Mar
Gama
1 : 0
Sobradinho
15 Mar
Samambaia
0 : 1
Sobradinho
08 Mar
Sobradinho
0 : 0
Samambaia
28 Feb
Sobradinho
1 : 0
Brasilia FC (DF)
22 Feb
Samambaia
3 : 0
Sobradinho
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Unai EC

(Away)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)