Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs Fleury-Merogis

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Gomel B.
Assist: Gomis D.
36'
Mexique J.
58' Event
Farade K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sochaux
11%
Draws
9%
Fleury-Merogis
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sochaux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Fleury-Merogis haven't matched Sochaux's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sochaux a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Fleury-Merogis
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Fleury-Merogis
2:2
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 3
Fleury-Merogis vs Sochaux
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomel B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fleury-Merogis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 76 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Fleury-Merogis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Fleury-Merogis registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sochaux scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Defensive concern: Fleury-Merogis conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Fleury-Merogis
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1
Auxerre
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
10 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Sochaux
Page 1 of 7

Fleury-Merogis

(Away)
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
15 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 2
Boulogne
11 Jul
Fleury-Merogis
0 : 5
Nantes
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)