Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sochaux vs Rouen

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Auguste Bonal, Montbéliard
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gomel B.
Assist: N'Gatta E.
32'
Masson J.
72'
Bassin C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Sochaux and Rouen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sochaux
28%
Draws
50%
Rouen
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rouen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sochaux come out ahead of Rouen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rouen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sochaux Clean Sheet 20%
Rouen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sochaux Rouen
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Rouen
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Sochaux
3:1
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Sochaux vs Rouen
2:1
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Sochaux
0:0
Mar 4, 2024 Ligue 3
Rouen vs Sochaux
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochaux Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rouen Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuss V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochaux 24 / 100
Rouen 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sochaux Rouen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochaux scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Rouen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Sochaux went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sochaux VS Rouen
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sochaux

(Home)
25 Jul
Sochaux
0 : 3
Dijon
22 Jul
Metz
4 : 1
Sochaux
18 Jul
Sochaux
1 : 0
Grenoble
10 Jul
Zurich
1 : 2
Sochaux
15 May
Sochaux
2 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
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Rouen

(Away)
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Boulogne
0 : 1
Rouen
24 May
Laval
1 : 0
Rouen
19 May
Rouen
1 : 1
Laval
15 May
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2
Rouen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)