Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025 Akademia FK Sochi

FC Sevastopol

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sochi 2 play FC Sevastopol in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sochi 2 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. FC Sevastopol averaged 1.81 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. In past meetings, Sochi 2 won 1, FC Sevastopol won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 29, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Sochi 2 and 1.93 for FC Sevastopol. This points to a FC Sevastopol double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Sochi 2

27%

Draws

45%

FC Sevastopol

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Sochi 2 picked up more points recently compared to FC Sevastopol.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.93 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Sochi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sochi 2	FC Sevastopol
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	21
Draws	9	8
Losses	11	3
Goals Scored	1.3	1.81
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.84

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

Sochi 2 vs FC Sevastopol

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Apr 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1

FC Sevastopol vs Sochi 2

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sochi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Platonov P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliev B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ivanov D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.5

Avg xA / game 1.53

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sochi 2 27 / 100

FC Sevastopol 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sochi 2 FC Sevastopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Sevastopol or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sochi 2 attacking → ← attacking FC Sevastopol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sochi 2 scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FC Sevastopol let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Sochi 2 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Sevastopol lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 71

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dynamo Stavropol	26	15	7	4	38:23	52
2	Kuban Kholding	26	14	9	3	48:23	51
3	FC Sevastopol	26	13	9	4	41:30	48
4	FK Pobeda	26	15	3	8	32:25	48
5	Rostov 2	26	13	5	8	37:22	44
6	Nart Cherkessk	26	12	6	8	37:22	42
7	Sochi 2	26	11	7	8	40:29	40
8	Maykop	26	10	7	9	37:27	37
9	Astrakhan	26	9	10	7	33:24	37
10	Rubin Yalta	26	9	6	11	26:32	33
11	Legion Makhachkala	26	7	8	11	26:42	29
12	Angust Nazran	26	5	8	13	21:31	23
13	Spartak Nalchik	26	3	5	18	18:48	14
14	Dynamo Makhachkala 2	26	0	2	24	15:71	2