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Social Atletico Television vs Belgrano Zarate

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Mercado L. L. V.
90' Event
Pires O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Social Atletico Television host Belgrano Zarate in the Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Belgrano Zarate have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Social Atletico Television have conceded 0.25 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Social Atletico Television have won 2 to Belgrano Zarate's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.25 - 0.25) back Social Atletico Television to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Social Atletico Television
17%
Draws
13%
Belgrano Zarate
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Social Atletico Television

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Social Atletico Television has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Belgrano Zarate.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Social Atletico Television.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 68%
Belgrano Zarate Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Atletico Television Belgrano Zarate
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 15
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0
Aug 28, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Social Atletico Television
0:0
Oct 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Belgrano Zarate
2:0
May 18, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Belgrano Zarate vs Social Atletico Television
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Social Atletico Television Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado L. L. V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Belgrano Zarate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social Atletico Television 77 / 100
Belgrano Zarate 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Atletico Television Belgrano Zarate

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social Atletico Television scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Belgrano Zarate let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Social Atletico Television went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Belgrano Zarate lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Social Atletico Television VS Belgrano Zarate
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178