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Social Atletico Television vs Defensores de Glew - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Defensores de Glew have shipped 0.79 goals a game lately, while Social Atletico Television have conceded 0.79 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Social Atletico Television slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.88) point toward Social Atletico Television. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Social Atletico Television
30%
Draws
43%
Defensores de Glew
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Defensores de Glew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Social Atletico Television come out ahead of Defensores de Glew on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Defensores de Glew's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Social Atletico Television have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Social Atletico Television, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 10%
Defensores de Glew Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Atletico Television Defensores de Glew
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 17
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.46 2.36
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Social Atletico Television
1:1
Aug 2, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Social Atletico Television
2:0
Jun 6, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Defensores de Glew
1:0
Sep 11, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Defensores de Glew vs Social Atletico Television
2:4
Sep 3, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Defensores de Glew
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social Atletico Television 22 / 100
Defensores de Glew 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Atletico Television Defensores de Glew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensores de Glew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social Atletico Television's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Social Atletico Television remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensores de Glew let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Social Atletico Television VS Defensores de Glew
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Social Atletico Television

(Home)
05 Oct
Social Atletico Television
3 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
29 Sept
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 1
Social Atletico Television
19 Sept
Social Atletico Television
0 : 1
Barrancas
12 Sept
Barrancas
2 : 0
Social Atletico Television
07 Sept
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 3
Social Atletico Television
Page 1 of 6

Defensores de Glew

(Away)
04 Oct
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Uribelarrea
30 Sept
Uribelarrea
0 : 1
Defensores de Glew
19 Sept
Defensores de Glew
1 : 1
Buenos Aires City
14 Sept
Buenos Aires City
0 : 3
Defensores de Glew
07 Sept
Defensores de Glew
3 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Social Atletico Television -
TBD -
Deportivo Metalurgico 6
Ezeiza 1
Defensores de Glew 4
Buenos Aires City 1
Uribelarrea 7
Nautico Hacoaj 2
Semi-finals
Social Atletico Television 4
Deportivo Metalurgico 3
Defensores de Glew 2
Uribelarrea 1
Final
Social Atletico Television -
Defensores de Glew -