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Social Atletico Television vs Estrella de Berisso

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gomez M.
29' Event
Mercado L. L. V.
90' Event
Pires O.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 game between Social Atletico Television and Estrella de Berisso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Social Atletico Television.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Social Atletico Television
6%
Draws
4%
Estrella de Berisso
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Social Atletico Television

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Estrella de Berisso haven't matched Social Atletico Television's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Social Atletico Television taking it.
  • Regular Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Social Atletico Television Clean Sheet 68%
Estrella de Berisso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Social Atletico Television Estrella de Berisso
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Estrella de Berisso
4:0
Sep 8, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Estrella de Berisso
2:0
Aug 17, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Social Atletico Television
3:0
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Social Atletico Television vs Estrella de Berisso
1:0
Apr 12, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Estrella de Berisso vs Social Atletico Television
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Social Atletico Television Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado L. L. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pires O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Estrella de Berisso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Social Atletico Television 95 / 100
Estrella de Berisso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Social Atletico Television Estrella de Berisso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Social Atletico Television found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Estrella de Berisso conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Social Atletico Television remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Social Atletico Television VS Estrella de Berisso
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Social Atletico Television

(Home)
11 Jul
Social Atletico Television
4 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Social Atletico Television
28 Jun
Atletico Pilar
1 : 2
Social Atletico Television
20 Jun
Social Atletico Television
1 : 0
Juventud de Bernal
13 Jun
Nautico Hacoaj
0 : 1
Social Atletico Television
Page 1 of 6

Estrella de Berisso

(Away)
11 Jul
Social Atletico Television
4 : 0
Estrella de Berisso
06 Jul
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 2
Juventud de Bernal
27 Jun
Nautico Hacoaj
2 : 2
Estrella de Berisso
23 Jun
Estrella de Berisso
1 : 1
Defensores de Glew
13 Jun
Provincial
0 : 1
Estrella de Berisso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ezeiza1062216:520
2Social Atletico Television1062213:720
3Defensores de Glew1052323:1217
4Belgrano Zarate102627:1112
5Estrella de Berisso102177:167
6Atletico Pilar101364:196
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Metalurgico1062214:420
2Barrancas1053211:1218
3Nautico Hacoaj1052317:617
4Everton La Plata1032511:1011
5Provincial102357:209
6Juventud de Bernal102269:178
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 (Play Offs)