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Socorrense vs Aracaju FC

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 3 game between Socorrense and Aracaju FC finished 8-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Socorrense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Socorrense
6%
Draws
4%
Aracaju FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Socorrense come out ahead of Aracaju FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Socorrense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 19%
Aracaju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorrense Aracaju FC
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 0
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 2.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorrense vs Aracaju FC
8:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorrense 85 / 100
Aracaju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorrense Aracaju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 10.00 goals.

Socorrense's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Aracaju FC let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Socorrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Socorrense VS Aracaju FC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Socorrense

(Home)
06 Nov
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Socorrense
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Sete de Junho
1 : 4
Socorrense
16 Oct
Socorrense
1 : 1
Sete de Junho
Page 1 of 6

Aracaju FC

(Away)
11 Oct
Socorrense
8 : 2
Aracaju FC
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2
Santa Cruz SE
01 Oct
Socorro
7 : 0
Aracaju FC
24 Sept
Aracaju FC
2 : 0
Coritiba SE
21 Sept
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
2 : 1
Aracaju FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Socorro651019:416
2Propria642012:314
3Socorrense641122:713
4Santa Cruz SE62048:116
5Forca Jovem Aquidaba62045:86
6Coritiba SE61052:203
7Aracaju FC61056:210
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estanciano EC642012:414
2Sete de Junho63308:112
3CS Maruinense63127:510
4Botafogo ASF623111:99
5AD Boquinhense62136:87
6Amadense61054:113
7Riachao60242:122
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)