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Socorrense vs Desportiva Aracaju

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Sat, Aug 24, 2024
0 - 3
06:00 PM
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Socorrense host Desportiva Aracaju in the Sergipano 2 2024. This has Desportiva Aracaju written all over it on paper. Desportiva Aracaju have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Socorrense have conceded 1.33 and scored 2.83. Head-to-head, Socorrense have won 0 to Desportiva Aracaju's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.85 vs 1.48, favoring Desportiva Aracaju. Desportiva Aracaju in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Socorrense
6%
Draws
4%
Desportiva Aracaju
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Socorrense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Socorrense.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Socorrense.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sergipano 2 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Socorrense Clean Sheet 16%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorrense Desportiva Aracaju
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 2.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.83 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Socorrense
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Socorrense vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorrense 84 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorrense Desportiva Aracaju

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Socorrense scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Desportiva Aracaju let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Socorrense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Desportiva Aracaju lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Socorrense VS Desportiva Aracaju
2.83 Goals Scored 1.63
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301