Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Socorro vs Botafogo ASF

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Socorro
35%
Draws
25%
Botafogo ASF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Socorro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Socorro have won more games recently than Botafogo ASF.
  • Socorro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Socorro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Socorro Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo ASF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Socorro Botafogo ASF
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.44 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Sergipano 3
Socorro vs Botafogo ASF
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Sergipano 3
Botafogo ASF vs Socorro
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Socorro 95 / 100
Botafogo ASF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Socorro Botafogo ASF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Socorro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo ASF let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Socorro scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Socorro remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Socorro VS Botafogo ASF
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Socorro

(Home)
31 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Socorrense
25 Oct
Socorrense
2 : 1
Socorro
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
Socorro
3 : 0
Coritiba SE
Page 1 of 4

Botafogo ASF

(Away)
19 Oct
Socorro
1 : 1
Botafogo ASF
16 Oct
Botafogo ASF
1 : 3
Socorro
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Socorro 4
Botafogo ASF 2
Sete de Junho 2
Socorrense 5
Estanciano EC 3
Santa Cruz SE 0
Propria 0
CS Maruinense 4
Semi-finals
Socorro 2
Socorrense 3
Estanciano EC 4
CS Maruinense 0
Final
Socorrense 1
Estanciano EC 2