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Sodupe vs CD Ariznabarra

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Sodupe Logo

Sodupe

3 - 1
FT
CD Ariznabarra Logo

CD Ariznabarra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Sodupe and CD Ariznabarra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sodupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sodupe
30%
Draws
23%
CD Ariznabarra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sodupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sodupe a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sodupe have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 12%
CD Ariznabarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe CD Ariznabarra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.01 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs CD Ariznabarra
3:1
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Sodupe
1:3
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Ariznabarra vs Sodupe
0:0
Oct 19, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs CD Ariznabarra
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 65 / 100
CD Ariznabarra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe CD Ariznabarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Ariznabarra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Sodupe scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sodupe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS CD Ariznabarra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
26 Sept
Sodupe
0 : 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

CD Ariznabarra

(Away)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
22 May
Tolosa
4 : 0
CD Ariznabarra
16 May
CD Ariznabarra
1 : 2
Aurrera Ondarroa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gernika Club 20 13 4 3 39:16 43
2 Real Sociedad C 20 12 4 4 48:27 40
3 Sestao 20 12 3 5 40:13 39
4 SD Deusto 20 11 3 6 30:24 36
5 Santutxu FC 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
6 Beasain 20 6 9 5 20:14 27
7 Tolosa 20 6 6 8 21:26 24
8 Aurrera Ondarroa 20 5 5 10 23:31 20
9 Balmaseda 20 3 9 8 22:27 18
10 Somorrostro 20 4 5 11 20:31 17
11 Urgatzi 20 3 1 16 11:62 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 20 9 8 3 20:4 35
2 Urduliz FT 20 9 8 3 28:18 35
3 Pasaia 20 9 7 4 22:14 34
4 Basconia 20 7 9 4 24:15 30
5 Anaitasuna FT 20 7 9 4 20:19 30
6 San Ignacio 20 7 8 5 19:19 29
7 Santurtzi 20 6 5 9 18:27 23
8 SCD Durango 20 5 7 8 17:20 22
9 Sodupe 20 4 8 8 21:23 20
10 CD Ariznabarra 20 3 7 10 12:28 16
11 Lagun Onak 20 3 6 11 17:31 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)