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Sodupe vs Eibar C

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Intxaurraga M.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Barcenas M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between Sodupe and Eibar C finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sodupe
30%
Draws
37%
Eibar C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eibar C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Eibar C's 1.41 goals per match outpaces what Sodupe have produced (1.18).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 20%
Eibar C Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Eibar C
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.18 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Eibar C
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sodupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcenas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Eibar C Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 32 / 100
Eibar C 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Eibar C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eibar C has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sodupe's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sodupe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Eibar C
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.2 Goals Conceded 1.75
60% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
Page 1 of 6

Eibar C

(Away)
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
05 Sept
Eibar C
1 : 1
Alaves C
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Eibar C 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 UD Aretxabaleta 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
4 Alaves C 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
5 Sodupe 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
6 Real Sociedad C 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
7 Touring KE 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
8 Beasain 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Pasaia 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
10 Lagun Onak 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 SD Erandio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Santurtzi 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Real Union B 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
14 Leioa 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
15 Derio 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
16 SCD Durango 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
17 San Ignacio 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
18 Amurrio Club 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)