Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014

Retuerto Sport

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sodupe play Retuerto Sport in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sodupe averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Retuerto Sport averaged 0.57 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Sodupe won 0, Retuerto Sport won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 12, 2014 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Sodupe and 1.06 for Retuerto Sport. This points to a Sodupe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Sodupe

32%

Draws

27%

Retuerto Sport

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Sodupe picked up more points recently compared to Retuerto Sport.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Sodupe Clean Sheet 22%

Retuerto Sport Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sodupe	Retuerto Sport
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	4
Draws	11	9
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.13	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Retuerto Sport vs Sodupe

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Sodupe vs Retuerto Sport

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 41 / 100

Retuerto Sport 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sodupe Retuerto Sport

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sodupe or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sodupe attacking → ← attacking Retuerto Sport

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sodupe scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Retuerto Sport let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sodupe went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Retuerto Sport lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 21

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leioa	38	24	9	5	62:34	81
2	Portugalete	38	20	10	8	67:38	70
3	Arenas Getxo	38	20	9	9	67:39	69
4	Basconia	38	19	10	9	77:49	67
5	Alaves B	38	17	11	10	54:33	62
6	Zalla UC	38	16	12	10	55:45	60
7	Gernika Club	38	15	14	9	43:29	59
8	Zamudio	38	15	11	12	64:48	56
9	Balmaseda	38	14	13	11	45:40	55
10	Beasain	38	14	10	14	45:59	52
11	Santutxu FC	38	9	21	8	37:40	48
12	SCD Durango	38	13	9	16	52:57	48
13	Pasaia	38	12	10	16	39:48	46
14	Lagun Onak	38	12	9	17	34:46	45
15	Oiartzun	38	11	11	16	40:61	44
16	Amurrio Club	38	11	9	18	31:45	42
17	Bermeo	38	9	12	17	37:46	39
18	Elgoibar	38	7	14	17	26:48	35
19	Sodupe	38	5	10	23	36:65	25
20	Retuerto Sport	38	5	10	23	21:62	25