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Sodupe vs Tolosa

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tolosa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tolosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sodupe
15%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tolosa have won more games recently than Sodupe.
  • Sodupe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 20%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Tolosa
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.18 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
1:2
Apr 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Sodupe
2:1
Feb 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
2:1
Sep 28, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs Sodupe
1:1
Jan 28, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Tolosa
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 85 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa let in goals in 86% of their last 36 matches.

Difficult form: Tolosa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sodupe scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Tolosa
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.2 Goals Conceded 2
60% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
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Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
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