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Sodupe vs Urgatzi

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Sodupe and Urgatzi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sodupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sodupe
15%
Draws
0%
Urgatzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sodupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sodupe come out ahead of Urgatzi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sodupe's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sodupe Clean Sheet 19%
Urgatzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sodupe Urgatzi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.18 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urgatzi vs Sodupe
1:2
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sodupe vs Urgatzi
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sodupe 85 / 100
Urgatzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sodupe Urgatzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sodupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urgatzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Urgatzi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sodupe's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sodupe VS Urgatzi
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sodupe

(Home)
13 Sept
Sodupe
1 : 1
Eibar C
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Sodupe
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
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Urgatzi

(Away)
12 Jun
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Urgatzi
05 Jun
Urgatzi
1 : 2
Sodupe
29 May
CD Ariznabarra
5 : 1
Urgatzi
23 May
Urgatzi
0 : 2
Lagun Onak
15 May
Santurtzi
4 : 1
Urgatzi
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