Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sofala vs AD Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Sofala Logo

Sofala

0 - 0
FT
AD Pemba Logo

AD Pemba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sofala
20%
Draws
64%
AD Pemba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AD Pemba lately — more wins on the board than Sofala.
  • Model gives AD Pemba a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Sofala Clean Sheet 20%
AD Pemba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sofala AD Pemba
Matches Played 22 20
Wins 4 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.45 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.09 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs AD Pemba
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 Mocambola
AD Pemba vs Sofala
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sofala 20 / 100
AD Pemba 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sofala AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Pemba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Pemba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 20 matches.

Away concern: AD Pemba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sofala scored in 41% of their last 22 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sofala VS AD Pemba
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sofala

(Home)
17 Oct
Sofala
0 : 0
AD Pemba
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2
Sofala
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 5

AD Pemba

(Away)
17 Oct
Sofala
0 : 0
AD Pemba
14 Oct
AD Pemba
0 : 1
UD Songo
09 Oct
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
16 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
AD Pemba
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 20 6 3 11 10:20 21
12 Sofala 22 4 7 11 10:24 19
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)