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Sofala vs Maxaquene

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Sofala and Maxaquene finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sofala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sofala
30%
Draws
29%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sofala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maxaquene carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Sofala Clean Sheet 68%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sofala Maxaquene
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 11
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.57 0.66
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Maxaquene
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sofala 42 / 100
Maxaquene 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sofala Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sofala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sofala scored in 57% of their last 14 games.

Maxaquene has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sofala VS Maxaquene
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sofala

(Home)
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Sofala
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
09 Aug
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 1
Sofala
01 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Sofala
29 Jul
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Sofala
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Maxaquene

(Away)
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
14 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Maxaquene
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
16 Jul
Maxaquene
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 13 8 5 0 18:4 29
2 Ferroviario Beira 14 7 6 1 18:7 27
3 Ferroviario Nampula 13 7 3 3 17:15 24
4 Costa do Sol 13 6 4 3 17:9 22
5 UD Songo 14 4 9 1 14:10 21
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 13 6 3 4 11:11 21
7 Sofala 14 4 5 5 8:14 17
8 Ferroviario Nacala 13 4 4 5 7:10 16
9 Ferroviario Maputo 13 4 3 6 8:8 15
10 ENH Vilankulo 13 2 8 3 15:13 14
11 Baia de Pemba 13 2 6 5 6:9 12
12 AD Pemba 13 3 2 8 6:17 11
13 Maxaquene 13 1 5 7 5:13 8
14 Chingale de Tete 14 1 5 8 2:12 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)